Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.697570 15.703527 17.918121 20.547239 23.587164 26.996137 31.115183
2025-10-12 11.188442 13.835665 16.998366 21.066388 26.176454 32.404166 40.602225
2025-10-19 9.826235 12.827676 16.622827 21.796032 28.699236 37.642653 50.187396
2025-10-26 8.392104 11.440775 15.475073 21.237989 29.314694 40.313726 56.568073
2025-11-02 7.384263 10.450347 14.670476 20.949344 30.134180 43.201877 63.422914
2025-11-09 6.593726 9.646592 13.998209 20.712653 30.919474 46.025398 70.395535
2025-11-16 5.929222 8.938602 13.366330 20.427961 31.545576 48.604595 77.201725
2025-11-23 5.338741 8.271845 12.714201 20.017510 31.892854 50.732893 83.460009
2025-11-30 5.124513 8.156267 12.880739 20.884042 34.320231 56.354998 96.014983
2025-12-07 4.818498 7.860663 12.727081 21.201641 35.855687 60.638098 106.742815
2025-12-14 4.478048 7.474120 12.384654 21.158712 36.755046 63.901481 115.998040
2025-12-21 4.149276 7.075571 11.982553 20.965399 37.354866 66.671312 124.620504
2025-12-28 4.001940 6.979285 12.092818 21.695338 39.703709 72.858781 140.482995
2026-01-04 3.836138 6.834973 12.104555 22.244634 41.770009 78.731139 156.438438
2026-01-11 3.716940 6.762178 12.233966 23.017490 44.326478 85.781297 175.581690
2026-01-18 3.419095 6.334615 11.676440 22.426390 44.157740 87.463986 183.786803
2026-01-25 3.187283 6.011452 11.285821 22.120666 44.520261 90.232339 194.603953
2026-02-01 2.983409 5.724816 10.940253 21.869980 44.963577 93.196544 206.178444
2026-02-08 2.791521 5.445981 10.586586 21.568467 45.265329 95.879595 217.418616
2026-02-15 2.601429 5.155705 10.186810 21.133789 45.235470 97.832447 227.183216
2026-02-22 2.567485 5.177926 10.417102 22.051502 48.246792 106.799340 254.693187
2026-03-01 2.476328 5.074831 10.380996 22.387890 49.987736 113.066020 276.396366
2026-03-08 2.355402 4.899918 10.180590 22.342421 50.847878 117.373367 293.715419